A small ray of hope: I came across some COVID-19 projections for Utah by IHME (the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation), and at least for Utah, the numbers aren’t nearly as dire as I’d been expecting. They do assume “full social distancing through May 2020” (I have my doubts about whether “full” is actually attainable in America, the land of the stubbornly independent), and who knows whether IHME’s model will end up being accurate, but hopefully they’re in the ballpark.